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Boxing odds: Keith Thurman favorite over Danny Garcia, latest on Mayweather vs. McGregor

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Get your boxing odds here, including this weekend’s big Thurman vs. Garcia fight, Haye vs. Bellew, plus an update on Mayweather vs. McGregor.

Saturday night’s boxing main event is a close, highly anticipated battle in the Welterweight division between two undefeated, top 10 ranked world champions. Headlining on CBS will be Keith Thurman (27-0; 22 KO) vs. Danny Garcia (33-0; 19 KO).

Here are the latest odds as of Thursday morning, courtesy of Bovada:

Keith Thurman -200
Danny Garcia +160

Those are close odds, which is to be expected from a fight like this. Thurman, who is consistently ranked higher by most media outlets, is no surprise as the slight favorite. That’s probably largely based on their recent resumes. Back in 2013, Garcia was starting to inch into pound for pound discussion with a very impressive string of wins over Erik Morales (twice), Amir Khan, Zab Judah, and Lucas Matthysse. But since 2014, he’s been known for taking low-ball fights against either clearly overmatched and outclassed opponents like Rod Salka, or cherry-picked past their prime fighters like Paulie Malignaggi. This is the first time he has faced an opponent with more than 3 wins in a row since 2013.

During that same 4 year stretch, Thurman has seen his stock rise considerably, highlighted by his win last year over Shawn Porter. But while the past few years have been more in favor of Thurman, the best career wins belong to Garcia by a pretty wide margin – Robert Guerrero stands as one of Thurman’s top wins, but is generally looked down on as part of the recent “unworthy opponent” streak for Garcia.

With recency bias in place, it’s understandable that more fans are leaning towards Thurman, making him the favorite. But Garcia has been the underdog many times before, and he’s come through again and again. It’s not a huge underdog pick, but I like him as the smarter betting option.

Elsewhere in boxing this weekend, David Haye faces Tony Bellew in a big Heavyweight spectacle fight in the UK. Haye is favored at -600 to Bellew’s +400, which feels like the right line.

And finally, for those still watching the Floyd Mayweather vs. Conor McGregor line, Floyd currently stands as the -850 favorite to McGregor at +525, provided the fight happens in 2017. Mayweather is, of course, the massive favorite, but honestly, that’s not massive enough. Maybe this is the one time to actually bet on the favorite when the line is that large.

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