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UFC 239 betting odds: Jon Jones favored inside the distance vs. Thiago Santos

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It’s fight-week for UFC 239 and Bloody Elbow is here to present the betting lines.

The top of the card will see light heavyweight champ Jon Jones face off with lethal challenger Thiago Santos. Naturally, one of the arguable GOATs in Jones is substantially favored here with a mega moneyline of -800. Looking to capitalize on his first shot at UFC gold, Santos is currently a +550 underdog.

The over/under for this one has been set at 2.5 rounds. The ‘under owns the favored line here at -135, with a +105 comeback on the ‘over.’ The oddsmakers do not foresee this main event title fight going the full 25 minutes. ‘Fight doesn’t go to decision’ owns a heavily favored line of -365, with a +275 comeback on ‘Fight goes to decision.’ Jon Jones is the fighter projected to end it early. ‘Jones wins inside distance’ is available at -212, with ‘Not Jones inside distance’ at +169. Going back the other way, ‘Santos wins inside distance’ is up at a major underdog line of +611, with ‘Not Santos inside distance’ at -1076.

The betting lines have Jones just about as likely to get a submission as he is to get the knockout. ‘Jones wins by submission’ can be scooped for +175 with ‘Any other result’ at -245. ‘Jones wins by TKO/KO’ can be had at +170, with a -230 comeback on ‘Any other result.’ On the other side of that coin, ‘Santos wins by submission’ sits a massive underdog line of +2485, with ‘Any other result’ at a staggering -7455. ‘Santos wins by TKO/KO’ can be scooped for +680, with ‘Any other result’ at -1440.

In the co-main event slot, UFC women’s bantamweight champ Amanda Nunes will look to claim another name when she meets former 135-pound queen Holly Holm. Nunes is quite favored here with a moneyline of -420 compared to the +335 underdog mark held by Holm. Nunes first opened up at -355 with Holm at +265, but their moneyline has only gotten wider since then.

The over/under for this 135-pound title fight has been set at 4.5 rounds. Both the ‘over’ as well as the ‘under’ can be acquired with -115 moneylines. We have seen a little bit of movement surrounding whether or not this one will make it the full 25 minutes. The betting public has sent the prop bet ‘Fight goes to decision’ from an opening mark of -135 to an underdog tag of +110. On the flip-side, ‘Fight doesn’t go to decision’ went from a slight favored line of -105 to a stronger mark of -140.

The UFC 239 main card will air live on Pay-Per-View (ESPN+) at 10:00 P.M. ET with the prelims starting at 8:00 P.M. ET on ESPN. The exclusive Fight Pass prelims will begin at 6:15P.M. ET.

Check out the UFC 239 betting odds, courtesy of OddsShark.com:

Main card:


Be sure to check back in with Bloody Elbow to catch the final betting odds on fight day, as the moneylines tend to shift a bit following the weigh-ins. All of your event coverage including play-by-play, results, highlights, and more can be found right here at BloodyElbow.com. Happy hunting!

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