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UFC Fight Night 107 predictions: ‘Manuwa vs Anderson’ Fight Pass ‘Prelims’ undercard preview, Pt. 2

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UFC Fight Night 107 predictions: Manuwa vs Anderson Fight Pass Prelims undercard preview, Pt. 2

More fights are coming to Fight Pass this weekend (Sat., March 18, 2017) when UFC Fight Night 107: “Manuwa vs. Anderson” storms The O2 in London, England. MMAmania.com’s Patrick Stumberg continues the UFC Fight Night 107 “Prelims” party with the second (and final) installment of a two-part undercard preview series.

It’s striker vs. grappler this Saturday afternoon (March 18, 2017) when English slugger Jimi Manuwa welcomes The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 19 winner Corey Anderson to his hometown of London, England, in the main event of UFC Fight Night 107.

Elsewhere on the Fight Pass-only card, Gunnar Nelson squares off with Alan Jouban, Brad Pickett looks to go out with a win against Marlon Vera, and Makwan Amirkhani takes on Arnold Allen in a clash of Featherweight prospects.

We’ve four “Prelims” undercard matches left to examine (check out the first batch here). Time’s a-wastin!’

155 lbs.: Joe Duffy vs. Reza Madadi

Joe Duffy (15-2) torched Jake Lindsey and Ivan Jorge in less than five combined minutes to start his UFC career, then dropped a decision to Dustin Poirier in an excellent, bloody scrap. He proceeded to pick up where he left off by dropping and submitting Mitch Clarke in a grand total of 25 seconds six months later.

“Irish Joe” has submitted 10 and knocked out four, all but one in the first round.

Reza Madadi’s (14-4) upset submission of Michael Johnson seemed poised to launch Madadi into the outskirts of contention, but a robbery conviction and subsequent jail time delayed his return to the cage for 18 months. Since his return, he dropped a decision to Norman Parke and come back from early adversity to knock out Yan Cabral in Rotterdam.

“Mad Dog” has submitted eight opponents of his own.

Madadi has an extremely effective top game and better wrestling than the average Lightweight, both of which appear on paper to be potent anti-Duffy weapons. Sadly, he’s also extremely slow, doesn’t cut the cage off well, and has no real striking attack outside feather-fisted brawling.

Great Brazilian jiu-jitsu is useless if he can’t consistently get on top.

I honestly expect Duffy to run circles around Madadi, battering him with fluid combinations and using footwork to steer clear of takedowns. “Mad Dog” is a little too tough to finish, but that just means he’ll get drubbed for the full 15 minutes.

Prediction: Duffy via unanimous decision

205 lbs.: Darren Stewart vs. Francimar Barroso

Darren Stewart (7-0) bull-rushed his way to the Ultimate Fighting Championship with five (technical) knockouts in his first seven fights, four of them in under 2:30. This set up his Nov. 2016 debut against Barroso, which ended abruptly because of an accidental clash of heads.

He will give up three inches of height to the 6’1” “Bodao.”

Francimar Barroso (18-5) entered UFC having won 12 of his previous 13 fights, all but one by stoppage. His six-fight UFC run has seen a bit less consistency, as he’s gone 3-2 (1 NC) with four trips to the judges.

He has knocked out eight professional opponents and submitted another six.

I just don’t get Barroso. I do not understand how this man has a winning record in UFC. I don’t know what he’s good at besides above-average wrestling, good submission defense and a handful of kicks. I don’t even know what happened against Stewart — there was definitely head contact, but Barroso acted like he got a genuine Evander Holyfield head-knocker when it was barely a tap.

And I’m still picking him to win.

The thing with Stewart is that his entire gameplan is “be very strong, muscle opponent to the ground, punch until movement ceases.” He doesn’t have good striking, he doesn’t have good wrestling, gets hit very easily, and his 94 seconds with Barroso are the extent of his high-level experience. Barring more shenanigans, Barroso outstrikes him at range and controls the wrestling for a decision.

Prediction: Barroso via unanimous decision

265 lbs.: Daniel Omielanczuk vs. Timothy Johnson

Poland’s Daniel Omielanczuk (19-6-1) rebounded from consecutive losses against Jared Rosholt and Anthony Hamilton to win three straight, including a light upset of veteran submission artist Oleksiy Oliynyk. This got him a spot on the main card of UFC 204, where he suffered the first submission loss of his career at the hands of Stefan Struve.

He will give up three inches of height to Johnson.

Timothy Johnson (10-3) started his UFC career strong with a ground-and-pound stoppage of Shamil Abdurakhimov, earning “Fight of the Night” in the process. He’ll enter the cage on Saturday having lost two of his last three, a win over Marcin Tybura sandwiched between tough losses to Jared Rosholt and Alexander Volkov.

Five of his nine stoppage wins have come via (technical) knockout.

Omielanczuk is durable, aggressive and has some deceptive power in his left hand, but there’s just nothing about his game that stands out. Decent on the feet, decent takedown defense, able to survive on the mat.

Against Johnson, “good enough” might not be.

Johnson will have three inches of height and, judging by their most recent respective weigh-ins, more than twenty pounds of weight on Omielanczuk. He’s also a stronger wrestler than the Pole, hits fairly hard, and is quite difficult to get rid of. Though it might be a slog, expect Johnson’s physicality to carry him to victory.

Prediction: Johnson via unanimous decision

155 lbs.: Marc Diakiese vs. Teemu Packalen

March Diakiese (11-0) lived up to his nickname in his last two pre-UFC fights, which lasted a combined 60 seconds and secured his hold on the BAMMA Lightweight Championship. He kept the finishing streak alive against Lukasz Sajewski, but had to settle for a competitive decision against Frankie Perez his next time out.

“Bonecrusher” will give up three inches of height to the 6’1” Teemu Packalen (8-1).

Finland’s Packalén disposed of his first seven professional opponents in less than two rounds apiece, but fell when he stepped up to face Mickael Lebout on short notice at UFC Fight Night 72. His next fight went a tad bit better as he submitted Thibault Gouti in just 24 seconds to earn “Performance of the Night.”

He owns six wins by submission and two via (technical) knockout.

Diakiese is still at the point of his career where he can get away with using his incredible athleticism as a crutch, but I’m not sure how long that can last. Packalen is exactly the sort of tricky grappler to exploit his overzealousness and tendency to fall back on his wrestling when things start to go south on the feet.

If Diakiese could be trusted to stay calm and simply sprawl-and-brawl the lanky Finn, he’d have a very good chance, but I doubt it happens. Shades of Guillard-Lauzon as Packalen exploits some dramatic attack to lock up a choke in transition.

Prediction: Packalen via second-round submission

UFC Fight Night 107’s main event leaves a lot to be desired, but there are some quality match ups here and there. See you Saturday, Maniacs!

MMAmania.com will deliver LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire UFC Fight Night 107 fight card, starting with the Fight Pass “Prelims” matches online, which are scheduled to begin at 1:30 p.m. ET, before the four-bout Fight Pass main card start time at 5 p.m. ET.

Current UFC “Prelims” Prediction Record for 2017: 32-13

Source:: mma mania